Lithuanian polls do not predict adequately the results of EAPL-CFA in elections. This is due, among others, the specificity of carrying out researches in regions and specific attitude of persons and entities carrying out these researches.
For example, EAPL-CFA gained 5.8 percent of votes in the last parliamentary elections, when the polls predicted the support of just 3-4%. To add, the surveys carried out before the last presidential elections in 2014 predicted the 1.1 percent support for Valdemar Tomaševski, while he managed to get 8,4 percent of votes during the actual elections.
Considering the fact that all poll agencies in Lithuania significantly underestimate the support ratings for the EAPL-CFA and taking into account the dynamics of a stable support for the party, it can be assumed that nowadays the party enjoys greater popularity.
The results of parties are presented below. It has to be mentioned that respondents who were undecided or not intending to participate in the elections were not taken into account.
|
No |
Parties |
February 2017 |
March 2017 |
|
1. |
Lithuanian Peasant and Greens Union |
30,6 proc. |
30,3 proc. |
|
2. |
Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats |
18,1 proc. |
17,7 proc. |
|
3. |
Social Democratic Party of Lithuania |
16,3 proc. |
16,4 proc. |
|
4. |
Liberal Movement |
12,2 proc. |
12,9 proc. |
|
5. |
EAPL-CFA |
5,9 proc. |
6,9 proc. |
|
6. |
Order and Justice |
7,9 proc. |
5,9 proc. |
|
7. |
Lithuanian Centre Party |
3,3 proc. |
4,3 proc. |
|
8. |
Labour party |
2,8 proc. |
2,3 proc. |
|
9. |
Other parties |
0,1 proc. |
0,3 proc. |
|
|
Total votes |
100 proc. |
100 proc. |
